• Ukraine claims its military intelligence downed a Russian Su-30 fighter jet using a maritime drone near Novorossiisk, a world first.
• Kyiv was targeted by a Russian drone attack resulting in injuries and fires in residential areas.
• Political tensions remain high, with Zelenskyy dismissing Putin's proposed ceasefire and Russia issuing warnings against Ukrainian attacks.

The conflict between Ukraine and Russia continues to escalate, with Ukraine claiming a significant tactical achievement by allegedly using a maritime drone to down a Russian Su-30 fighter jet near the strategic port of Novorossiisk. This marks a potential turning point in naval warfare. Concurrently, Kyiv faced a Russian drone attack, resulting in injuries and property damage. These events occur amid ongoing political maneuvering and accusations, including Zelenskyy's criticism of a proposed Russian ceasefire as a mere 'theatrical performance' and warnings from Russia regarding potential attacks during commemoration events.

• What: Ukraine claims to have shot down a Russian Su-30 fighter jet using a maritime drone, marking the first instance of such an event. Kyiv was also targeted in a Russian drone attack that caused injuries and fires.
• Who: Key actors include Ukraine's military intelligence (GUR), the Russian military, Presidents Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, and civilians in Kyiv and Novorossiisk.
• When: The Su-30 downing reportedly occurred on May 2, 2025. The Kyiv drone attack took place overnight leading into May 4, 2025. Russia proposed a three-day truce starting May 8, 2025.
• Where: The Su-30 was reportedly shot down near Novorossiisk in the Black Sea. The drone attack targeted Kyiv, Ukraine. Victory in Europe Day celebrations will occur in London, with participation of Ukranian troops.

The alleged downing of the Su-30 by a maritime drone signals a potential shift in naval warfare, highlighting the increasing role and effectiveness of uncrewed systems. This development forces Russia to adapt its strategies for countering Ukrainian USVs, potentially requiring more expensive and sophisticated weaponry. Simultaneously, the drone attack on Kyiv underscores the ongoing intensity of the conflict and the vulnerability of civilian areas. The political rhetoric surrounding proposed ceasefires reveals a deep distrust and lack of consensus between the warring parties, making prospects for de-escalation uncertain.

This is more of a theatrical performance on his part, because in two or three days it is impossible to develop a plan for the next steps to end the war.

will have to pay for military supplies with the national wealth of a disappearing country

The current situation in Ukraine is marked by both tactical innovations and persistent conflict. Ukraine's claimed success with maritime drones signals a potential evolution in naval warfare. However, the ongoing attacks on civilian centers like Kyiv underscore the human cost of the conflict. The political arena remains fraught with distrust, making any immediate resolution unlikely. The situation remains dynamic, requiring continuous monitoring and analysis to understand the evolving dynamics and potential future trajectories.